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Osterhorn
Friday,
25.05.2001 |
Market Report |
The
US $ in EURO
0,8560
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What happened this week: The
week was shortened with some European countries on holiday on
Thursday. Consequently also Friday did not show too much
activity in the same countries and so some markets were
neglectable in their activity. Generally the market is in a
situation which can be seen many times under the same conditions.
When the tone changes from firm to weaker some players change to
their normal habits. The UK/Irish markets fall quickly and their
sellers lower their offering prices daily and don’t sell.
Italian tanners do the same with their bids and don’t buy and
the others sit in the audience and watch. Many of the traders
and tanners call this than the market, talk it into the doldrums
and everybody talks about the virtual reality and nobody
realizes what actually happens. Looking back into history we
have seen often a similar scenario in May and this year it is
just pronounced because of the normalizing world after the
epidemics. While in the first quarter the whole world is working
full speed things are slowing down from May onwards and
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Europe is having the summer holidays and season
changes in sight. So everything is changing just the gear. If
this is combined with high cyclical prices or artificial levels
like we had them due to the BSE and FaM situation than prices
readjust. So far nothing special and many expected this. Now,
just many tanners try to save too much and rumours about cheap
prices are spread around. So, gossip rules and always when you
check a story about a cheap deal you find something what
explains why it was not true
or some needed facts were changed.
We found the week again quite active confirming that
leather business is still good in the known sectors – at least
until the holidays – and tanners still need to purchase hides.
So sales in side leather material, calf/kips and better quality
upholstery were good again with moderately lower prices. Bulls
may now have lost 3-4 % from their peaks and cows 5-7 % so far.
The weak EURO was supporting export prices again and helped to
keep the declines under control. South German abattoir prices
were not
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yet fixed with packers insisting on only marginal
declines which do not reflect the market situation. Tanners
ideas of declines between 7-12 % -depending on the basis -are at
the same time unrealistic yet and so the truth will be somewhere
in the middle. Next week we will know more. The kill: The
kill was much lower and – according to our expectation –
mainly on cows. The intervention has finished and excellent
weather keeps the cattle in the fields. We continue to expect
much lower slaughter over the summer. What do we expect? We
think the market is not yet fully settled and things need some
more weeks to stabilize. This does not mean further sharp
declines for our hides but many markets and prices have to find
their correlations again. The related price movements will
confuse many and may be misguide them. We are just in a
correction of many factors and this will last until the summer.
A new era (and we don’t know which one yet) can - in our
opinion - only start in Sept/Oct. For next week we think that
our prices will not move very much with the pressure persisting.
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| Type |
Weight
range |
Avg.
green weight |
Salted
weight |
Avg.
weight salted |
Price
per kg green weight |
Trend |
| Ox/heifers |
15/24,5
kg |
22,0/23,5
kg |
13/22
kg |
20/21
kg |
DM
5,80 |
Steady |
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25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/27
kg |
25/26
kg |
DM
5,20 |
Steady |
|
Dairy
cows
|
15/24,5
kg
|
22,5/23,5
kg
|
13/22
kg
|
20/21
kg
|
DM
5,40
|
Weak
|
| |
25/29,5
kg
|
27,5/28,5
kg
|
22/27
kg
|
25/26
kg
|
DM
5,00
|
Weakish
|
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30/+
kg
|
33,5/35,5
kg
|
27/+
kg
|
29/31
kg
|
DM
4,50
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Weakish
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| Bulls |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/
27 kg |
25/26
kg |
DM
5,60 |
Weakish |
| |
30/39,5
kg |
36,0/37,0
kg |
24/34
kg |
31/33
kg |
DM
4,95 |
Steady |
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40/+
kg |
45,0/48,0
kg |
34/+
kg |
38/40
kg |
DM
4,60 |
Steady |
| Thirds |
15/+
kg |
25,0/27,5
kg |
13/+
kg |
22/26
kg |
DM
4,20 |
Weakish |
| Thirds
bulls |
30/+
kg |
38,0/40,0
kg |
24/+
kg |
33/36
kg |
DM
4,20 |
Weakish |
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