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Osterhorn
Friday,
06.07.2001 |
Market Report |
The
US $ in EURO
0,8445
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What happened this week: The
avalanche rolled out this week. In the first half of the week
was still determined by gossip, bargain hunting and panic.
Towards the end of the week things settled more and more and
many tanners realized that prices after the slump of the recent
week(s) have become extremely attractive. With the weak EURO and
the actual prices Central European hides have become one – if
not the most attractive option. With tanners trying to push this
market even lower the discussions for new sales were extremely
long and complicated. They anticipate today what they think the market
will be in 4-8 weeks and we work on what we feel is the present
correct valuation of the hides. This created large gaps at the
beginning but at the end we were able to find solutions and
consequently we achieved one of the largest sales figure for the
year. It became very clear that tanners on one hand suffer from
the fact that their leather buyers in the present environment
are not willing to decide on new purchases while tanners have to
cover raw material needs for their productions after the
holidays. So decisions were taken without the relative leather
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covering contract. In any case tanners feel
with today’s hide price quite comfortable and had the courage
to buy. Sales were made into almost all directions. Even Asian
buyers took the chance to book volumes in expectations of better
leather business August/September and taking into consideration
the tremendous price spread between European and American hides.
In some grades prices have a spread of USD 10,00 per pcs.
considering the quality and price ratio. These kinds of gaps
never last very long and the normal market reaction is that the
expensive is coming down and the cheap is going up to meet
somewhere. Apart form trading many people were extremely busy to
sort out the classical weak market problems. So far people are
willing to admit and to talk about it, one hears plenty and all
kind of horror stories about claims, non-opened L/C’s and
delays in taking up documents or shipments. The trade never
changes and some pay now back for what they did and shipped
during the hot times in March/April. Everything balances out and
a lot of stress could be avoided if general trading standards
would be
followed. With all the
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chaos of the past weeks it seems that everyone
is now really happy to go on holidays.
The kill: This week it happened the expected.
After Wednesday the kill almost collapsed. If this just due to
the very hot weather or due to the start of the summer holidays
we don’t know yet and has to be seen next week. In any case
was the drop so sharp on males (abt. 40 %) that it endangered already the
regular fresh hide supplies. We would not be surprised if the
low kill continues What
do we expect? We are now more than sure that the market has
reached the bottom. For the coming weeks we may see still some
late-comers who also try to secure the present price level. With
the lower kill and the present price levels combined with
reasonable forward sales of several suppliers reductions can not
be expected anymore. Due to the upcoming holidays the demand
will also decline except eventual further interest from the
Orient. Due to the attractive price levels which we have in
Europe at present and the Asian preference for summer hides this
could be a strong option for the coming weeks. In total we
expect a narrow trading range, although now on a lower level
than forecasted
some weeks ago.
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| Type |
Weight
range |
Avg.
green weight |
Salted
weight |
Avg.
weight salted |
Price
per kg green weight |
Trend |
| Ox/heifers |
15/24,5
kg |
22,0/23,5
kg |
13/22
kg |
20/21
kg |
DM
5,00 |
Steady |
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25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/27
kg |
25/26
kg |
DM
4,20 |
Steady |
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Dairy
cows
|
15/24,5
kg
|
22,5/23,5
kg
|
13/22
kg
|
20/21
kg
|
DM
4,70
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Steady
|
| |
25/29,5
kg
|
27,5/28,5
kg
|
22/27
kg
|
25/26
kg
|
DM
4,00
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Steady
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30/+
kg
|
33,5/35,5
kg
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27/+
kg
|
29/31
kg
|
DM
3,55
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Steady
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| Bulls |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/
27 kg |
25/26
kg |
DM
4,50 |
Steady |
| |
30/39,5
kg |
36,0/37,0
kg |
24/34
kg |
31/33
kg |
DM
4,10 |
Steady |
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40/+
kg |
45,0/48,0
kg |
34/+
kg |
38/40
kg |
DM
3,85 |
Steady |
| Thirds |
15/+
kg |
25,0/27,5
kg |
13/+
kg |
22/26
kg |
DM
3,40 |
Weakish |
| Thirds
bulls |
30/+
kg |
38,0/40,0
kg |
24/+
kg |
33/36
kg |
DM
3,30 |
Weakish |
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