|
Osterhorn
Friday,
23.11.2001 |
Market Report |
The
US $ in EURO
0,8755
|
|
|
What happened this week: Well,
the market was exciting this week, but it is divided into two or
even more sections. Talking about the North/Central German
market – and this is where we are in – sales and activity
were very active. The total volume sold might be one of the best
of the year. This was mainly related to the fact, that our hides
are attractively priced in international terms and obviously
many tanners got a clearer and more positive picture about their
order situation and decided to cover much of their needs instead
to continue to wait for cheaper prices. While the previous weeks
were mainly focussed on demand from the Orient, this week was
almost completely in hand of the European buyers and a lot of
time was spent on combining larger bloc deals which were
requested by the buyers. There was still also some business and
interest from the Middle and Far East but it was limited to
individual customers specifically covering orders for shoes,
garment and very cheap furniture leathers. So, sales into this
direction covered everything from calf/kips over dairy cows to
low grades. The weak € assisted again very much finding prices
and securing revenues. The
|
sales to European customers saw for the first time in
weeks also interest and buyers within the furniture leather
tanners and it seemed that they received orders which they
preferred to cover. Although we were not involved we heard
rumours about dairy cows being sold to Italy at 5-7 % higher
levels than those we heard during the Bologna Fair. In addition
the strong demand from side leather tanners continued and sales
of bulls and ox/heifers were impressive again – reconfirming
the good impression we have from this market for some time now.
Worrying is the situation in the South German market. Although
it is clear already for some time that prices were overvalued
and we had our doubts about the high price segments for a while,
it seems - by defending price levels over the past months -
higher stocks than desired have piled up and cause various
processors quite some headaches now. Moreover tanners complain
more and more about selection problems mainly in cows, so that a
premium for this category is even less justified. Auto tanners
advising a longer than normal production break are also not
entertaining any optimism in the heavy bull segment. With the
specific use of South
|
German material and the restricted
customer base we do not expect too much effect on the general
market and price reductions have more to be considered as a
needed adjustment to reality. But it will certainly dampen much
of the speculative optimism seen already in the trade after the
recently better sales. The kill: The kill held up much
better than what we expected and the declines were far less than
our prognosis for the week. However, most of the kill is still
in the female section and the kill of bulls is just about what
it needs to be to secure fresh hide supplies. Heading now
towards the Xmas break and the end of the year the risk of
bottlenecks is fading What do we expect? We have no
reason to change our general outlook. Short term we assume that
prices will continue to trade in narrow ranges just with a solid
base now. A bit
worrying are now just the rumours about eventual further
military actions in the Middle East. On the basis of a stable
situation we think, that european prices after the seasonal
break should enter into a moderatly firmer trend. This considers
a similar situation on the currency market as well as steady
conditions on the other raw material markets in the world. Then
European hides look continue to look undervalued.
|
|
|
|
|
| Type |
Weight
range |
Avg.
green weight |
Salted
weight |
Avg.
weight salted |
Price
per kg green weight |
Trend |
| Ox/heifers |
15/24,5
kg |
22,0/23,5
kg |
13/22
kg |
20/21
kg |
DM
4,00 |
Steady |
| |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/27
kg |
25/26
kg |
DM
3,50 |
Steady |
|
Dairy
cows
|
15/24,5
kg
|
22,5/23,5
kg
|
13/22
kg
|
20/21
kg
|
DM
3,85
|
Steady
|
| |
25/29,5
kg
|
27,5/28,5
kg
|
22/27
kg
|
25/26
kg
|
DM
3,45
|
Steady
|
| |
30/+
kg
|
33,5/35,5
kg
|
27/+
kg
|
29/31
kg
|
DM
3,10
|
Steady
|
| Bulls |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/
27 kg |
25/26
kg |
DM
3,75 |
Steady |
| |
30/39,5
kg |
36,0/37,0
kg |
24/34
kg |
31/33
kg |
DM
3,40 |
Steady |
| |
40/+
kg |
45,0/48,0
kg |
34/+
kg |
38/40
kg |
DM
3,10 |
Steady |
| Thirds |
15/+
kg |
25,0/27,5
kg |
13/+
kg |
22/26
kg |
DM
2,80 |
Steady |
| Thirds
bulls |
30/+
kg |
38,0/40,0
kg |
24/+
kg |
33/36
kg |
DM
2,80 |
Steady |
|
|