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What happened this week: The
week started fast and ended slow. Interest was mainly for
lighter weight material and for the first time and long awaited
also side leather tanners in Europe woke up and either covered
incoming colour instructions or finally accepted, that their
hope for a weakening market is in vain and it might be better to
secure supplies. For them and the others who generally depend or
concentrate on heavy males, market conditions become more
complicated as most of the available material was and is
absorbed by the automotive tanners who continiously secured
their supplies all the way through the recent market rally and
expanded their market share in this segment over the last weeks.
Since most backlogs and security stocks have in the meantime
been absorbed some buying interest could not be satisfyed. With
the season change in shoes more interest for light material was
seen and mainly lighter weight calf, kips and ox/heifers
dominated the interest. Interesting is the fact, that not the
Italians were the active players, but Indian and Chinese buyers
were the active ones. It is really a bit worrying, that the
Italians are hardly seen at all. The cow market was
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relatively quiet in comparison to the other sectors.
Some heavy cow buying from Italian upholstery tanners was all in
this segment. Neither Korean nor Chinese tanners were seen for
cows and also other potential markets for this product remained
quiet, although European dairy cows look still attractively
priced. This would explain, that many in the trade admit to
carry stocks or to find L/C delays from the Far East. Many of
the sold hides could eventually become unsold inventories. After
all the other segments showing signs of improvement and knowing,
that the high season of garment production is still ahead of us,
there is still a fair chance, that finally also the demand for
this market could improve to justify the present price levels.
Prices in general advanced further after a sharp increase in
abattoir prices for March. Having drawn a quite positive picture
about the market we have at least to mention again our concerns
about the financial situation in the tanning industry were poor
last year results and rising raw material prices squeeze the
cash-flow of many tanners and more and stories are told about
payment delays in Europe without any bankruptcy yet. On the
currency
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the EURO advanced moderatly and it will be
interesting to see if an outbreak out of the trading range of
the last month can be achieved, what would burden export
calculations eventually.The kill: So far no change and
slaughter numbers are steady now already for the last 6 weeks. A
nightmare for the calculations and also for the market balance
are the excessively falling hide weights, what is as well
unusual for the season as well terrible for the supply/demand
balance. It seems, that there is little hope for any improvement
with the Easter Season approaching cutting two prodcuction weeks
by a day. What do we expect? With no sign of any shortly
improving supply, notice that kills also in other countries in
Europe are low and steady demand for males we have to remain
steady to firm for male hides. Females we consider to be steady
until a clearer picture about the demand can be seen from the
Orient. In general we expect trading activity now slowing down
with many waiting for the Hongkong Fair and their results of the
Asian trips. The GDS shoe Fair in Düsseldorf over the weekend
will hopefully also offer more information about the fashion
trends and shoe leather demand for the coming season.
Calculations will now get difficult for all in the trade.
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