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What happened this week: The
week as a whole was generally a non-event. A holiday on
Wednesday interupted in many countries the activity and in many
companies part of the staff took the chance for a brief vacation.
At least in Europe. Since we are also waiting for the Lineapelle
in Bologna next as well as for the next round of abattoir busing
in continental Europe many market players preferred to wait for
the developments of the coming week. So most of the interest was
focussed on the currency market as well as on the question if
the period of ever rising prices could come to an end. Many
different opions are available and while the hide suppliers of
the higher quality material can and are still very optimistic
have the others at least to consider, that there are
also some hides and market which do not just enjoy blue skies.
One has to accept, that those who are predominantly able to
supply, automotive, high substance side leathers and premium
quality leathergoods are not only well sold ahead, but also
still facing steady if not good demand. This may represent even
a larger portion of european hides, but there are still many
left and in our case it is half if not more of the
production where the
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conditions are not as good. Hides
which are in general sold on USD basis into export markets
suffer from the sharp fall of the currency. Sooner or later will
also be the leather prices be effected. Since those tanners who
are enjoying good business are also mainly exporting it will
also affect their margins, latest when their forward sales of
the currency expires or it comes to the new price negotiations
with their customers. Apart from the currency the rumour about a
fraud bankruptcy in Italy was spread around and by late Friday
it was confirmed, that again suppliers were cheated by the use
of counterfeited money transfer slips. Not the first time and
certainly not good for the trust and reputation in general. It
can be expected, that more details will be available next week
in Bologna and the case will be the talk of the street for the
first day. Coming to the limited business during the week, it
has to be said, that mainly the shoe tanners were in the
foreground. They are mainly monitoring the market for sources of
hides which could be used for very high substance articles and
we dont think, that they had too muchof a success. Good news
is the fact, that we finally see various tanneries experimenting
with light
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for light substance nappas. For our taste this took
already too long, but might be an option for the coming winter
season. We can only hope, that they will be succesful in
everybodies interest, as this would give them access for
decently prices raw material and us an addional option. The few
sales effected were mainly for side leathers and very few heavy
cows. The kill: Nothing changes. Numbers are low as well
as the weights. The holiday mid-week has as usual dpressed
production for more than a week. German has another holiday next
Thursday even worse for the kill. So nothing on the horizon
to improve slaughter numbers short term. What do we expect?
Next week everything in Europe will depend on the
sentiment of the Lineapelle. In general we reamain cautiious
about the situation in Europe. The situation on males remains
tightly supplied and so everything will depend on tanners needs
in the next weeks. If they are desperate even higher prices
could happen. For cows we are less optimistic as for North
German cows the correlation factor of the USD on price price is
50 % or more. Depending which is the last level ones bases the
calculation, but a decline of at least 5 % in terms vs. the
prices talked in Hongkong should not surprise anyone.
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