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Osterhorn
Friday,
22.11.2002 |
Market Report |
The
US $ in EURO
0,9970
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What happened this week:
The settlement of the market continued. Although trading
activity was relatively quiet reached the number of sold hides
again a very adequate number. Asia became active again this week.
Prices for many items, such as dairy cows, ox/heifers and low
grades have returned again to the levels which have been always
attractive for buyers in overseas destinations. European
activity was either concentrated on the regular and classical
program sales or for prompt shipments. A number of tanners have
either got prompt new orders for
immediate deliveries or they had still some production
days open which still needed coverage. Most of the interest in
Europe was either for low grades, ox/heifers or heavy dairy cows
not counting the traditional and regular requirement for bulls.
The biggest surprise of the week was however, the sharp decline
in the slaughter. Not so much the fact
itself, but it came from a day to another and has hit
mainly the males.
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After the longer period of better supplies some find
it difficult to re-adapt to tighter supplies and to understand,
that markets will also in the future remain mainly supply driven.
Looking back to the results of Bologna we are a bit disappointed,
that the demand for kips has not benefited and the demand for
higher quality calf continues to be dominant in skins. Despite
the disastrous state
of the German economy, seems the world demand for consumer goods
still reasonable enough to absorb most of the productions and
the persisting growth in automotive and side leather seems still
to compensate for the problems in garment and in part also
furniture. Prices during the week eroded again slightly on
lighter weight dairy cows but found a floor now. Ox/heifers did
very well and bulls got their support from the reduced slaughter.
So, one can say that the market has for the moment completely
settled in all categories. With the insufficient adjustment at
the abattoirs for the month of November a further
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correction for December is now needed at the abattoir
door to reflect the market
levels which seem to be the present market reality. The
kill: The decline which we reported already last week
continued also this week and we did not see any recovery in the
slaughter of bulls. Cows slaughter was till quite normal, but
also here we expect now moderate declines into the months of
December. Slaughter weights remain stable. What do we expect?
The market settlement continues to be in progress. After a
long period of correction a lot of the inflation of hide prices
has been removed and many grades have returned to reasonable
levels. Checking our indices we are very close to the long term
averages and are consequently in the neutral zone. We remain of
the opinion that the next weeks should not deliver major
surprises on prices anymore. Supply and demand seem still to be
in reasonable balance at present. Reduced supplies for the
coming months should be taken into consideration for the medium
term planning.
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| Type |
Weight
range |
Avg.
green weight |
Salted
weight |
Avg.
weight salted |
Price
per kg green weight |
Trend |
| Ox/heifers |
15/24,5
kg |
22,0/23,5
kg |
13/22
kg |
20/21
kg |
€
2,08 |
Firmer |
| |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/27
kg |
25/26
kg |
€
1,83 |
Firmer |
|
Dairy
cows
|
15/24,5
kg
|
22,5/23,5
kg
|
13/22
kg
|
20/21
kg
|
€
1,98
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Steady
|
| |
25/29,5
kg
|
27,5/28,5
kg
|
22/27
kg
|
25/26
kg
|
€
1,80
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Steady
|
| |
30/+
kg
|
33,5/35,5
kg
|
27/+
kg
|
29/31
kg
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€ 1,60
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Steady
|
| Bulls |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/
27 kg |
25/26
kg |
€ 2,05 |
Steady |
| |
30/39,5
kg |
36,0/37,0
kg |
24/34
kg |
31/33
kg |
€
1,93 |
Steady |
| |
40/+
kg |
45,0/48,0
kg |
34/+
kg |
38/40
kg |
€
1,83 |
Steady |
| Thirds |
15/+
kg |
25,0/27,5
kg |
13/+
kg |
22/26
kg |
€
1,35 |
Steady |
| Thirds
bulls |
30/+
kg |
38,0/40,0
kg |
24/+
kg |
33/36
kg |
€
1,45 |
Steady |
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