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What happened this week:
The market developed into the classical pre-holiday pattern. Those
markets and suppliers which are focussing their business on the
European tanning industry continue to be nervous about the ability
to move enough hides over the summer holidays. This applies in
particular to origins such as UK/Irish, since their marketing
potential remains still limited by the import restrictions of
various countries in the world. With very limited activity in the
traditional European markets, the tanners were ready and had
plenty of time to display further pessimism and as usual
the situation was used to try to plant the seeds for further
uncertainty and declines. In part, some of it might have been
successful, but sales in Europe remained limited and so was the
success of the operation. Quite the contrary can be reported from
overseas markets. Interest for dairy cows and ox/heifers remained
strong and at least in our case continues to
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outstrip supply. In particular the lighter weight
ranges and traditional categories for the Asian markets are in
strong demand. Even the lighter weight slaughter mix of the summer
does not assist enough to meet the volumes requested for the time
being. Heavier weights of females exactly the ones which had
been the hot cakes of the past years suffer from the
poor state of the furniture upholstery business in Europe and
fortunately their production is at the seasonal lows. Prices
remained exactly where they were a week ago and range still
between USD 45-50,00. Males continue to be less exciting. Due to
the long term arrangements and the low kill, all of the
reliable supplies are placed in strong hands, production is
just enough to maintain existing delivery programs and to keep the
JIT-deliveries running. Despite the general market trend, remain
hides with extra heavy substance in very tight supply and tanners
are not getting the volumes they need. Unfortunately, because the
demand for extra heavy leathers seem to one of the very bright
spots in the
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global leather business. The SARS problem is
Asia (China) is easing quickly and business operations and travel
return back to normal. This can also easily be seen by the
increasing number of e-mails and commercial requests deriving from
that part of the world. The kill: No news. Production
numbers and slaughter weights are quickly heading to their
seasonal lows. Another holiday next week in the catholic parts of
the country will again weigh on the slaughter numbers. What do
we expect? Although the market pattern seems easy and clear to
everyone, the number of tanners with a long term view is
increasing and many realize, that hide prices are reaching the low
side of the long term range. However, the biggest problem remains
the general price deflation and the global fashion which is
supporting a unified price structure for finished products. The
next weeks will not set new directions, and it might need some
time to move remaining stocks of raw material from weak to strong
hands, but the cycle of the price correction is certainly getting
daily closer to an end.
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