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What happened this week:
As far business is concerned trading was again almost entirely
concentrated on Asian interest. Italy was also quote to fill the
last small needs for July productions and those tanners who had
gambled until the very last moment in the hope they could squeeze
the market further down had to give in and to accept sellers
levels. However, even if many talked prices down the levels of
trade which ranged around the 1,25 mark are very attractive for this material. Interesting is the fact, that Asian
tanners dont mind August and even September shipments, while
Italian tanners are not willing to even listen to offers after
their holidays. This is unusual as normally at this time of the
year they are starting to cover their needs for after their return.
Even more the case, considering, the price levels we have reached
in the meantime. However, it is clearly reflecting how different
the situation and also the expectations are in Europe and in the
rest of the world. While
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Europe is still in the doldrums and the situation
in particular in furniture couldnt be worse, the prospects
are lighting up in the rest of the world. A good example was given
today by a spokesman of BMW who stated, that they consider further
expansion of production in Asia and the USA as the outlook for
Europe and the potential for car sales in the luxury end is not
promising while business overseas is brisk with very positive
expectations. Asian buyers remained active in cows and heifers
their specialities and prices edged up also supported by the
strengthening USD. Sales in bullhides are awaiting the abattoir
negotiations and European tanners are still doing their best to
depress the market and to prepare sellers for the price levels
they have got in mind which are 10 % or more below the present
market. Some are buying already intensively in outside markets
which are not related to the rhythm in Germany to protect
themselves against any kind of supply pressure when it comes to
the showdown over the next weeks. So, when the
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female market has certainly bottomed, has the bull
market still a difficult time ahead to find a solid bottom
despite the very low kill and the already existing bottlenecks in
fresh supplies. The kill: Slightly improved, but still
miles away from acceptable seasonal levels. Low avg. weights are
also a massive burden and so it is exactly where a processor
should shut down and wait for better times if he could. What
do we expect? Pretty much the same as this week. The cow
market has settled and it seems, that there is still more interest
out there. We dont expect, that higher prices are obtainable
and so will the USD again command the revenues. The steers market
will remain in apathy until sellers and buyers will meet for the
showdown to negotiate contracts and deliveries for one to three
months after the abattoir buying. Everything points into the
direction, that this could take this time more than the normal
week and will be harder than ever. One thing is clear. Presently
Europe is not the place to have fun and success in business and in
particular not in the leather field.
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