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What happened this week: This
week was determined by orderly trading conditions.
The interest for hides was almost entirely focused on male
hides. Buyers
interest did not only come in from the traditional European
customer base, but also again from new customers in Asia. Some
larger block deals were concluded during the week. Adding them to
the sales to the regular customer base we reached a very
significant number of sales for a week in December. Despite the
firm tone in the US market we did not see very much interest for
dairy cows. The bids offered, were too low to be attractive and
did not match with the basis reported from the other side of the
Atlantic. So, we passed and decided to wait for buyers who are
getting more in line with the present market levels. Except the
regular program sales for bulls we received also from Europe
little interest for cows, but good inquiry for ox/heifers and low
grades again. Interesting was also, that after a long time we had
requirements also from the Middle East, markets which only
appear randomly on the scene in Europe. Interesting was to
note, that the interest was for bulls, but also for lighter weight
materials which
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had been neglected for such a long time. Well, one
day it had to come back as many of the light weights are cheaper
than ever before. News from the retail markets were almost all
positive with good initial news for the present Xmas Season
shopping. It seems, that there is a good clearance of shoes,
leathergoods and also garments, what should encourage the
purchasing managers to be more active in their procurement
for the spring/summer season. Also luxury goods are
definitely doing better, and in luxury a lot is related to leather.
So, the market conditions are brightening up. Despite all the positive news it will in the short term not
reflect in higher leather prices. This, the ongoing changes in the
structure of the trade and the still remaining inventories in some
hands prevent the market from a sharp turnaround so far and might
keep prices still under control for some time. Remains still the
fact, that European hides are an attractive option and are
detected more and more by buyers which did not pay much attention
to our origin. Some excitement caused also the news, that a
Chinese buyer took over the hide processing plant of van Buren in
Holland. What this means has still to be seen. At least it will
create some more confusion in
the market until the clear
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intentions are determined. It will be, however
interesting to learn which function this operation will have in
the future. Well, those who call this a new era, may remember,
that this is not the first Asian investment in Europe. Some years
ago already a tannery in Denmark was owned by Asian investors. The
excitement was not less at that time.
The kill:. The kill is now
slowly but surely descending. However, for December we are still
quite happy about the total numbers and hope, that we still have
another week to go on the same level. Todays published outlook
(EU) for the slaughter 2004 indicates only small variations
vs. 2003. What do we expect?: The market consolidation
continues. Not all problems are solved and all the hides around
are sold, but confidence about the future continues to grow. With
Xmas in front of us and the world falling into holiday mood we
will not see too much activity in Europe anymore. Next week the
books for the year 2003 will be closed and the market left to the
overseas buyers. They will decide where and how we will start
2004, but we would be surprised if it would be anything else than
a steady market with a firmer note to it. This under the
circumstances, that the currency market is not going to deliver
any further sharp gains of the € vs other major currencies..
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