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What happened this week: The week is not particularly worth to report.
Most of the trade tried to settle in again after their trips to
the Far East and so was the market activity more on the low side,
with also many already left for a long Easter break. Anyway, as
much as business was lackluster it was not nil. Some follow- up
trades from Hongkong were still concluded and some of the regular
European program sales were also due for renewal, so that hide
sales reached in numbers better levels than the activity
would made believe. Price negotiations were tough, but at the end
prices remained entirely steady with asking levels easier
obtainable on dairy cows and heifers, while bulls were a tough
struggle. Well, not a surprise as this was anyway expected. Total
numbers were almost evenly divided between cows, heifers and bulls
and so were also the destinations with half of the sales going to
Asia and the other half staying in Europe. News from the leather
business are not encouraging at least not from Europe. A
struggling Spanish operation finally went into chapter 11 and
others are said to follow soon, if not the great surprise is
happening and
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leather orders flooding in, in the weeks to come.
Nobody really believes that. Also the other European tanning
centres are not delivering any particular good news as far as
orders and activity is concerned. Hongkong did not seem to be the
great success for European tanners in general and now the hopes
are transferred to Bologna at the end of the month. Well, we fail
to believe, that Lineapelle can turn things to the better for the
Europeans and would already be happy if it could create some new
fashion trends which would at least trigger some sampling and
encouragement for specialty tanners in Europe. If one likes it or
not, we are starting to enter the low production season in Europe
now and the question is, if we ever had a high season this year
and can it still get any less. One can hardly get away from the
fact, that the next six month will be decisive on the future of
many leather productions in Europe. Can necessary downsizing
operations be successful, are the financial blankets long enough
to get through the general crisis and who can find its position in
the dramatically changed global production structure? So, the
market and the business depends more than ever on Asia in the
months to come. In the meantime remains the abattoir buying
molesting.
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As a useless and premature defensive act against the
new potential competition for raw material deriving from the
investor into the van Buren plant, one player decided to raise
prices at an isolated abattoir without any justification from the
market. This makes discussions extremely difficult when just
steady prices - at best - would have been appropriate.
The kill: Statistics released today confirmed the
impression of the better kills in the last weeks. Slaughter in the
first quarter was above a year ago in particular in cows. Due to
the exhausted milk quota of many more dairy cows than normal had
to find their way to the abattoirs. Officials expect now a kill
under par for the next months and a reduction for the year of
around 2-3 %. In the meantime will
slaughter now be reduced due to the Easter holidays . What
do we expect: We still dont see any changes. Activity will
also next week be burdened by the Easter vacations. Slaughter will
be low and most of the hides produced seem to be sold already. We
have to watch if the Asian customers continue their weekly,
regular purchasing as this prevents the market from further
corrections. The next junction for the market development might be
the end of this month around Lineapelle. We still believe that the
narrow price band remains intact. Happy Easter!
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