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What happened this week:
Another week were currency trading decisions were at the end more
important than hide trading operations. Business was just
concentrated on the renewal of the regular programs with the
European customers. More difficult than ever before, as most
tanners try to use the holiday season as a reason to hide away or
to sit the negotiations out in the attempt to depress sellers and
the market . Complicated to get to satisfying results under these
circumstances. Reasonable forward positions and the expectations
of low kills for the holiday season, combined with steady prices
almost all over the world, keep positions under very tight control
and price variations within very tight limits. Clear signals are
now send from China, that access to credits and finance has become
significantly tighter. Letter of credits are coming in slower and
extended payment terms have become completely common. How hard
finished leather price negotiations all over have become, can also
be
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checked now even in Asia, where buyers also
increasingly try to find cheaper alternatives to their regular raw
material supplies. So, the process of downgrading raw material
qualities to meet finished leather target prices continues and one
has to speculate how far the process can be driven, since it has
definitely limits. For the moment remains at least the hurting
problem, that the middle price section of finished leather has
almost completely disappeared. For German hides definitely a
temporary problem, but at the end it will sorted out by the market
developments – as usual. For the time being prices remain still
reasonably well protected, because alternatives to German hides
are not cheaper and in many cases even more expensive. So, if one
has no specific preferences and needs to cover raw material, the
German hides is still one of the potential and favoured options.
This has also in the past weeks been the main reason for the sales
been made. So, the best performance this week was again in the
side lines. Garment leather
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seem to have a good season on front of it. Skins are
bought, despite the same price fights as on hides, but one can
feel the interest is backed by demand for leather. The flurry of
interest for cheaper light weight material has disappeared, but
for the next season and the time after the summer holidays one can
also be a bit more optimistic again. Fashion seems to work for us.
The kill: The kill wasn’t even bad this week. For the
time of the year and forecast made production was above
expectations. However, this seems to be
regional as reports from different areas are not the same.
Published forecast for the next 6-8 weeks are very pessimistic
with strong influences of the holidays being expected. What do we expect? As
long as not one market will set a really new trend, nothing
will change. We believe, that cows will see more difficulties in
the next weeks and would need another round of buying from Asia,
while males face resistance, but at the end will trade around the
levels set now for a while. Price changes will continue to be more
a result of external influences, rather than change in the market
yet.
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