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What happened this week:
The week ended on a more positive tone, after the previous weeks
were undecided and determined by uncertainty. The USD gained most
of the losses from the previous weeks back, which added to almost
2 % for the week. Until Wednesday business continued its slow pace,
but on Thursday and Friday interest perked up and a satisfying
number of hides were finally sold. Bids were numerous to select
from and so was the spread of prices. To be honest were most of
the inquiries far below asking levels and even the firmer USD
didn’t make them attractive enough. However, some prices were on
acceptable levels, but below asking prices, but the currency
factor assisted and so enough sales for the week were generated.
It has to be mentioned, that almost all sales were generated with
non regular buyers. The consistent customer base finds present
price levels far too high and is not willing to follow the market
until today. So, interest and sales focussed on more non-regular
buyers which where looking to fill production gaps or were looking
for alternatives for other even more expensive origins.
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Despite
the results achieved this week, one has to be aware,
that for the moment these are just flurries without any
consistency. In addition to the business in the regular cattle
hides also bargain hunting continued and in view of the high level
of prices of the regular material a lot of bargain hunting took
place. Light hides and light weight materials which did not find
any reasonable interest for a long time all of a sudden attracted
speculators and buyers who put price in front of goods and enabled
us to sell and hopefully also eventually to shift undesired stocks.
Apart from the price factor it is also confirming the trend of the
fashion which we believed to realize during the Bologna Fair this
spring. Anyway, everything is at present driven by the Orient as
European activity has almost come to the holiday standstill.
Productions which are still running are basically just preparing
for the shut down, maintenance or preparation of the after holiday
supplies. Order books of the Asian tanners must be reasonable or
they have just waited for the summer break in the Western world in
the hope
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to get hold of some cheap bargains. If, what they buy
is cheap or a bargain can only judged by the buyer when he turned
the raw material into leather. However, we still believe, that
there are no miracles around and you don’t resolve problems in
the calculation with cheaper raw materials. The kill: Still
on holiday levels.
Astonishing is the proportion between cows and bulls. The cow kill
is exceptionally low, while the bull kill is pretty steady. So,
the relation between males and females is at present pretty much
in favour of the males. These will be the hides some tanners are
going to miss when they reopen their beamhouses after holidays and
look for fresh material. What do we expect? The pressure we felt in the last weeks, in
particular for cows, has definitely faded, mainly due to the
increased value of the USD. Apart from that we don’t think much
has changed. The summer months do not deliver any reliable basis
for a market judgement, although definitely also European sellers
feel now much more comfortable. The real trend will only be seen
well into September, when more news about leather orders and
prices for the next season will be available.
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