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In
the air
Friday,
03.09.2004 |
Market Report |
The
US $ in EURO
1,2050
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What happened this week:
The entire interest this week was on the meeting of the trade in
Shanghai. The timing
of the event proved again to be too early.
Despite a very good attendance and the confirmation, that
the fair in Shanghai might overtake soon the importance of the
APLF in Hong Kong it is timed too early to really gain security
about the volume and the prices of leather business in the last
quarter. In addition
remains of the focus on upholstery leathers and in the section of
shoe leathers remains underrepresented there.
Anyway, the event proved that leather demand for upholstery
leathers remains fairly good and consistent.
Hardly any tanner was met who was complaining about the
volume of orders he is expecting from his customers over the next
months. The problem
remains on the price for finished leather and the increasing
overcapacity of production of Chinese tanneries continues to weigh
heavily on their ability to negotiate leather prices with the
buyers, which are desperately needed to justify present
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raw material prices. And this was at the end also the
reason why only limited business for raw materials was concluded.
Without having a clear picture what is going to be the
result of the negotiations for finished leather prices no buyer
was willing to place more than friendly orders to maintain
relationship. Price
bids were about $1-$2 below asking levels and only where the
customer/buyer relation was good enough to justify a sale, deals
were concluded. So,
the total volume of raw material sales remained below
expectations. The US
dollar was again trading in the range we have seen for some time
now. It was on the
low side until the end of Friday when it returned to the levels
seen the week before. Who
was able to hold the position had again the chance to improve the
revenues in Euros before Friday's close.
Bad news came from the automotive industry.
China and the USA where both reporting poor sales of cars
on the last weeks and the media was full of reports about the
existing overcapacity in the industry.
In the logic
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of the car industry this means further pressure on
the suppliers and prices. Since automotive leather was for a long
time the major driving force behind raw material fluctuations this
puts a further ? on the directions in the near future.
However, having said that, raw material prices do not
always follow the logic of finished product developments. The
conclusion of the week has to be that we are not concerned about
the demand for raw material for the rest of the year, but price
negotiations will become probably even more difficult in the near
future. The kill:
The kill continues to improve and we sincerely hope that also
weights will do the same to give at least a little bit of a relief
on calculations with abattoir prices being far too high versus the
selling prices in the market at present. What
do we expect? We continue to fail to find any reason why raw material prices should
leave the existing trading range we have seen almost for the whole
of the last three months. Currency
factors and financial issues will remain more determining than
anything else in the weeks to come.
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| Type |
Weight
range |
Avg.
green weight |
Salted
weight |
Avg.
weight salted |
Price
per kg green weight |
Trend |
| Ox/heifers |
15/24,5
kg |
22,0/23,5
kg |
13/22
kg |
20/21
kg |
€
1,55 |
Steady |
| |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/27
kg |
25/26
kg |
€
1,45 |
Steady |
|
Dairy
cows
|
15/24,5
kg
|
22,5/23,5
kg
|
13/22
kg
|
20/21
kg
|
€
1,55
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Pressure
|
| |
25/29,5
kg
|
27,5/28,5
kg
|
22/27
kg
|
25/26
kg
|
€
1,45
|
Pressure
|
| |
30/+
kg
|
33,5/35,5
kg
|
27/+
kg
|
29/31
kg
|
€
1,30
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Pressure
|
| Bulls |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/
27 kg |
25/26
kg |
€
1,50 |
Steady |
| |
30/39,5
kg |
36,0/37,0
kg |
24/34
kg |
31/33
kg |
€
1,46 |
Steady |
| |
40/+
kg |
45,0/48,0
kg |
34/+
kg |
38/40
kg |
€
1,40 |
Steady |
| Thirds |
15/+
kg |
25,0/27,5
kg |
13/+
kg |
24/26
kg |
€
1,20 |
Steady |
| Thirds
bulls |
30/+
kg |
38,0/40,0
kg |
24/+
kg |
33/36
kg |
€
1,18 |
Steady |
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