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What happened this week:
This week was again a quiet one. As already indicated last week
have Asian tanners mostly decided, that they will not return to
the market before the end of September in any significant volume.
This might be a mixture or sufficient inventories, cash flow
problems and uncertainty about prices and volumes of future
leather orders, but the consequence is, that cow sellers loose
confidence in the market after the holidays. So, the only business
left were some of the regular sales of bulls to the European
tanning industry and some spot interest for wetblue items, were
incoming leather orders needed to be filled with prompt available
material. In general the enthusiasm about the business starts to
fade and so also this year is a classic how things can be
misinterpreted over the summer. It is the ever repeating hope,
that business is going to be immediately strong after the return
from the holidays. At the end tanners are basically always covered
for the weeks after the holidays
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and furniture orders and production get back to full
speed not before the end of September. In shoe leathers the
situation was a bit better, despite bad news from the sector in
general. One of the largest German shoe retail organisation
including the Salamander shops filed for bankruptcy during the
week. Although it is said operations will continue for the time
being it is always creating confusions, disruptions and the
cash-flow down the supply chain will also be influenced. Also the
names of Tuscany tanneries closing are finally circulating the
trade. Despite all this, most of the interest seen during the week
came from shoe
tanners in Europe and the Middle/Far East. Some spot business
could be concluded without being of any significant size. Prices
for male hides were able to hold their own, while - without having
any sales done - we would call the cow market under pressure also
in view of the weaker USD towards the end of the week. At the end
we continue to be driven by the leading markets in the Americas
were prices are also said
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to be slowly eroding. The price has taken over the
command again in the mainstream products and everyone feels the
same now, that despite positive impression about the demand for
leather in general tanners fell confident and also are
economically forced to wait for bargains. With the growing mass
production of global products the return for most hides is not
anymore determined by the fine tuning and optimization of
selections, but by simple cost and volume calculations. The kill: The kill took a bit of a break this week.
High prices for cattle and the beautiful weather slowed numbers
down again. However, slaughter is normal for the year and we are
now in the normal cycle of increasing kills. What do we expect? As
many in the trade realize more price pressure is now
building on the hide types which find today their home
predominantly in Asia. The weaker USD is also weighing on
calculations and so we would not be surprised if prices for cows
in € beginn to fall. Bulls might hold, but if cows are adjusting
to new levels the rest will need to follow eventually.
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