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What happened this week:
Another week were it was pretty difficult to get a clear picture.
We think, that the situation between the good and the bad , the
successful and the not successful, courage and no courage etc. is
drifting further apart. What can be clearly seen is the big
difference between the situation in the medium and higher shoe
upper field and the volume production of furniture leather. Heavy
substance side leathers as well as high quality bad leather still
enjoy strong demand with the European specialist tanners and
prompt deliveries are requested – in particular for wetblue
material. However, not very many hides qualify and since it is a
small part of the whole market the total volume is not really an
influence on the whole. Furniture leather is quite the opposite.
Price pressure and cheap finished leathers from overseas supplies
such as Brazil and China are in the focus of discussion and also
the – in the meantime small fair in Coburg (Germany) - confirmed
the trend that price is just the only thing of interest at the
moment. So there are hardly any
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sofas made from leathers of reasonable quality on
offer, what makes the sales of medium quality hides at todays
price levels even harder. Price levels of € 1,10 per sqft for
finished leathers are mentioned frequently. The trend for a weaker
USD continued and makes calculations for hides from the EURO area
even more difficult. Some isolated interest from Asia for cows was
seen again in the second half of the week, but prices were mostly
unacceptable and abt. USD 2-3,00 below todays asking levels.
However, if these prices become reality we would have lost more
than 10 % in price and another 3 % in currency when sales to Asia
are calculated. In Europe the drop was not as sharp, but a) who
knows what is to come and b) the price were lower already anyway.
Sales were not particularly strong during the week. In Asia most
of the buyers were still in holiday mood and many others on
overseas trips. Furniture tanners are were, or are waiting for the
results of the fairs. In Europe business in heavy males was just
acceptable and for females just isolated.
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Low grade were sought. Under these market conditions
the abattoir buying prices can be at best called cynical. Although
prices came down by some €s, it is far away from the correction
required to bring the market back on adequate levels and it seems,
that many continue to ignore the global price trend and the
currency markets. Anyway, eventually the consequences will have to
be managed – as before in history. The kill: Levels are
good now, but not yet on the seasonal highs. With colder nights
ahead of us, we expect the kill to increase further in the weeks
to come and weights should also start to increase. The pressure on
abattoir margins is also high, what makes it not easier to deal
with butchers at the moment. What do we expect? The
next week we should see a bit more interest form Asia again.
However, it will be hard to defend the present asking levels for
cows in the present market environment. Bulls seem to do a bit
better and we believe, that sales will be satisfying at prices
which will reflect the marginal declines in the buying prices.
This could be called a weak-steady all over.
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