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What happened this week: At
the end it was a quiet week. May be, that the impression was a bit
more pronounced due to the holiday on Thursday in most parts of
Germany, Austria and Switzerland. Although the main tanning
centres in Europe such as Italy and Spain were open,
the activity also from those directions was limited. The
only real life in the European market has shown was again for
light material. So, we saw again plenty of inquiry for weights
between 5-20 kg. It seems, that there are still a number of
leather orders circulating in the market which require coverage of
adequately priced raw materials. We are too far away from the
leather market to really understand if the orders for finished
leathers will continue to favour this particular light material,
but if the demand is going to continue also into the second half
of 2005 raw material supply is going for this particular
sector - to become a problem. The rest of the market was simply
busy to administrate shipments and logistics. Sales where patchy
and isolated and more a matter of coincidence rather than a clear
sign of tanners needs. So, a few containers of dairy cows and ox/heifers
were sold, but much less than in the weeks before. Prices were
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just steady, but the firmer USD help again in the
calculation. It is anyway still like the whole year, that the
currency market is much more determining the market sentiment
rather than the market itself. The situation as such has still not
really changed. The market is still divided into those who see the
positive signs with good shipments, low kill and
the firm USD while you have the others who bother mainly
about the massive price pressure on finished leather, the weak
demand for upholstery and garment leather and rising financial
problems in the industry in general. It is a bad time to make
final judgements, because we are running into the summers season
in Europe and at least we still dont have a clear picture about
the situation in Asia. Following the logic of the supply chain and
the timing of the same we should see now an increase of demand
from the Asian upholstery tanners and the seasonal decline from
the European ones. Consequently another period of a market in
balance. The male market remains still well supported by the low
kill and the next round of price negotiations in our part of the
world will show us if the there is serious room for price
increases in this preferred hide selection. While butchers
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aggressively hope to convert the lower kill since
February in clearly higher prices are tanners still focussing on
depressed margins and falling finished leather prices. Not an
ideal position to start with. The seasonal falling avg. weights
are also working against the market at this time of the year.
Worries about possible payment problems in Europe over the summer
are also not making decisions for many easier. The kill: The
holiday in the West and the South of the country has again cut the
total kill by a lot. The North has been untouched and slaughter
was even slightly higher than expected and definitely better than
the last week. Anyway also for the next weeks there is no reason
or indication, that the kill is going to be any better than the
low and steady seasonal levels. What
do we expect? The
coming week will also not bring much of a change. The business is
Europe will fall again mostly into agony. In males we expect
little trade until the renewal of contract is due. Excess supply
is hardly available. The cow market seems to loose pressure. The
higher USD, reduced stocks due to decent shipments, the low kill
and the US hide prices are working as stabilizing factors,
but we still dont believe that this is argument enough to
propel prices to higher levels for the time being
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