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What happened this week: It
was a week of mixed emotions. In general lost the demand some of
its steam and in particular the main and driving forces of the
past weeks, i.e. Asia and Italy changed to a lower gear. Market
activity and daily work however did not dry up completely and the
demand for reasonably priced light weights remained very strong
and how we finished before the summer holidays we continue now.
Italy, India and China are still showing strong interest for these
types of materials. This is on one side good and confirming the
solid performance of the leather demand for leathergoods, handbags
and shoe upper leathers on the other side the bad news are that
the supply base is getting mmore and more limited. If this
situation is going to persist tanners will eventually either have
to change their raw material sources or to speak with their
clients if they can use other, heavier and larger raw materials as
well. Just looking a year back there was plenty of demand for the
heavy end while the 15 kg down market was almost completely
neglected. In the standard items many were busy to analyse were
the European market for bulls is heading. While there is a strong
attempt to push the extra heavy end of the
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quality market even higher many started at the same
time to question if this has any justification and reward in the
present leather business and if this could not run into a dead end
eventually. For the moment are the structural changes in the
continental European beef market the trigger for several political
and strategical moves from the main market players and we do not
think, that the present market volatility can be justified by the
market as such. The present price spread between South German
hides and the rest has at least created the return of ‘hide
coctails’ as this is usually the case in such a market
environment. It is, however, pretty unlikely, that this is going
to last for long since the trade is too familiar with the
situation in the meantime. For the moment tensions are high in
this segment. Interesting is the rising interest for standard
bullhides from the Middle and Far East. For one reason or another
there must be more interest for better quality leathers of higher
substance or a shortage of the standard material which should be
normally used. Quite a few loads could be placed what has also
lifted the sales pressure into the standard customer base a bit.
Against all forecasts is also the USD exchange
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rate the friend of the exporter again. Some of the
price reductions which have or had to be taken can be balanced by
these kind of windfall profits. A bit of the focus on dairy cows
was consequently moved this week with Italy and Asia asking but
not buying much. It was less a price issue, but more likely a
break after the reasonable activity of the previous weeks. On can
at least have the impression, that the inventory position is
extended and with a normal level of leather business replenishment
could be regular in the near future. The kill: Again
nothing special to report. The kill continues the seasonal pattern
and is gradually rising, but in small steps. As one could expect
the process of consolidation is favouring the large enterprises
and the kill is concentrating more on the big slaughter plants. . What
do we expect? Despite the turbulences in the South German
market we feel, that the market is in a decent equilibrium at the
moment. What is sold is also shipped and what is sold outside the
regular delivery programs is almost always quickly asked for
shipment. However, the hides to meet theses requests are available
and there is no shortage with the only possible exception of light
material. So, no reason to expect changes.
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