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What
happened this week: Most of the trade was waiting to see what the
impressions are from the Lineapelle fair in
Bologna
this week. A reasonable amount of visitors were seen, although a
number of people were claiming that the attendance was not
too large we dare to say, that it is not just the number of
visitors, but also the quality and here you found hardly anyone
complaining. Same applied for most tanners and their business.
Again there was little concern about the business and the orders
and most quality tanners seemed to be quite relaxed and happy with
the business and the outlook. So, most of the talk was related to
the raw material market and the further development of the same.
The number of people expecting the market to slump in June/July is
declining as most are realizing, that indeed the sales position of
most hide suppliers is decent and there is little hope, that
unsold hides are accumulating in the short term what could develop
some pressure on the market and prices in the short term. Quite
reverse decent interest for hides was seen and the loads which
were still on offer where snapped quickly up and found homes
without too much arguing if one was
willing to be satisfied
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with
moderate prices increases. Tanners still need to cover some
production holes until the summer vacation and most seemed to be
happy just to bring the season to an end to analyze over the
summer how things are going to develop in the second half of the
year. There is a general consensus, that leather prices will not
advance to cover the increased cost of production and raw material
and in some grades and here in particular on small skins
alternatives such as goat and hairsheep leathers were displayed to
escape from the limited supply and prices for adequate raw
materials such as calf and veals. How successful this is going to
be is depending how the manufacturers are going to respond. This
will still need some weeks until a clear picture can be given. For
heavier side leathers and upholstery same applies. Quality tanners
are happy, that they are mostly followed by their regular
suppliers who in most cases also try to stick what they know
instead of going test new adventures in their customers list. It
might have been possible to squeeze a bit more out of new
customers, but in general most customer/supplier relations are not
put at risk for a few cents more. This also clearly
displays, that the majority of the trade is
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realizing
the rising tensions in the market which are also related to the
external facts such as further rising prices for energy, chemical,
interest etc. which eventually might not fail to have an impact on
the global economy. Sales where a bit across the board and in our
case the hides reserved for the regular customers found their
homes. Incementally higher prices vs. some weeks ago were achieved
in the European customer base while overeas calculations were
burdened by the falling value of the USD. The kill: . The
kill is further declining and is in particular reduced by the
short weeks which we now see for the near future. Several four day
weeks are ahead of us and the numbers will be affected also by the
seasonal decline of volume and weights. Bottlenecks in fresh hide
supplies have consequently to be expected.What do we expect: There
is no change in the trend of the firm side of steady. Since there
are not many more hides to sell it is not easy to test how far
this market can be still pushed. At the end however, it seems
also, that buyers and sellers would be quite happy to see a stable
market now with not too much movement anymore in the short term.
An extended weaker trend of the USD would certainly take some of
the speed out of the EU market.
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