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What
happened this week: The hide market - or better business - is not a real challenge at the
moment. Most of the sales activity is related to discussions
with the regular clients about their needs and to do the utmost
and best to keep them securely and consistently supplied. Since
there are hardly any security stocks left most of the just-in-time
deliveries have to be handled from current kill and production.
This is a real challenge as the kill and the composition of the grades
is delivering weekly surprises. Despite all concerns about the
market, there is still enough fundamental
need to clean up what is put on offer at the moment. Still
no hide offered remains unsold. Anyway, apart from this positive
statement everyone can sense easily, that European tanners are
just buying what they still desperately need to get into their
holidays, but not a single hide more. The content of the dialog
with the tanners is today also just related to the fact that their
faith in getting sufficient increases in leather prices in the
near future is pretty limited. Well, this would also a bit too
much expected to hope for the admission for higher raw material
prices. Anyway, on one side we see less trading activity
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now for
several
weeks, while on the other side any interest shown on offers made
ended in a sale. When it comes to prices things are not that
easy. While abattoir prices are rising incrementally for the last
months already were returns not moving with the same dynamic.
Finally with the falling average weights and margins shrinking it
needed a much stiffer presentation vs. the clients this time to
fight for an adequate selling price. While in Asia the higher
prices from other overseas origins were helping to get a lift were
discussions in Europe like pulling teeth. Tanners repeated
stubbornly their margin problems to justify their unwillingness to
add a few cents to the previous prices. And as usual
the compromises found did not satisfy anyone. Tanners can
not convert the higher raw material cost into higher leather
prices and complain in addition about deteriorating selections
while suppliers suffer as well from falling avg. weights and
shrinking margins due to insufficient selling prices. Nothing
unusual in such a market. Just unusual, because many players have
already forgotten, that this is sometimes nothing uncommon in the
leather pipeline. It does, however not help anyone at present
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and
so the best would be to get quickly into the summer holiday period
to get a bit of relief from the stressed flow of product.
Interesting is also going to see if the Football World Cup is
going to have any kind of influence on the leather business and
market activity. Depending on the time zone a number of people
will spend some time during office and production hours in front
of the TV and the daily interest will shift its focus a bit. Its only a week away. The kill: A bit awkward at the
moment. Due to the numerous holidays one can not have a clear
picture, but the kill is shifting quickly between males and
females and in aggregate is better than one would expect. May be
this is related to the upcoming World Cup with more tourists, that
retailers and restaurants are getting more optimistic about beef
consumption. Next week is short again and the total weekly numbers
will consequently not improve. What do we expect: The
market remains on a solid and firm footing. This seems not to
change until the holiday season. At the same time tanner demand is
now slowing declining as well as the USD value what is naturally limiting
the market. So, all remains in the hands of the Asian buyers,
but we still believe in a steady market with further falling
activity.
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