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What happened this week: There seems hardly to change anything at the moment. In the key grades
anything what is offered out and this is little is
snapped up by the market right away. Impressive was the fact,
that even Asian buyers where willing to buy and not to wait
until the Hongkong Show next week or for the visits which
are due over the next ten to fourteen days. Whatever the
interpretation for the reasons is, but one thing is obvious
they are still in need of raw material supply. The question
to be answered for us is just why the interest is on
European hides. Most likely, because they are today one of
the cheapest buy after the steep rise in Brazilian hides
lately. Unfortumately the USD was on a rollercoaster ride
this week and has been at the end rather won than up and
this has taken a bit away from the good chances. However,
the Chinese buyers have at least not been favoured buy cheap
offers this week buy the travellers from around the world in
the country, otherwise they would have kept their feet quiet.
Since there is not much to offer unfortunately the test cant
be made what would happen if the offer list would be much
more extended. What can be said about the positive tone in
the Orient one can
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on
the negative side for
Europe
as well. It seems, that the European tanning industry
mainly the upholstery section is in another round of
restructuring and loosing further ground globally
certainly also thanks to the weaker USD which is almost 8 %
down against the first quarter of 2006. More and more
finished leather and products from South America and Asia is
flooding into Europe and is taking further home market
potential away from the local industry not to speak
about the problems in the Export markets anyway. So, if the
fundamentals are not going to change quickly the a further
shrinkage of the production capacity in
Europe
seems to be inevitable. Meantime European tanners tried this
week to take their chance in the market of heavy and
expensive hides. Knowing, that this is still a field where
their competition from the Orient is limited they where
aggressively testing how far their influence is still
reaching. In their attempt to get raw material prices back
to their desired levels they were not shy to bid low to see
how desperate sellers were. We dont believe, that despite
the recent difficulties in extra heavy cows and bulls
sellers were willing to take what was offered, but it is
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going to be exciting to see
how this local battle is going to end. Well, it has not much
to do with the international general campus, but could mean
at least something for domestic situation. In the meantime
it seems also that the struggle has a bit shifted away from
the bulls and more to the extra heavy cows. Prices in
general were almost steady in figures, but due to the weaker
USD and the slow performance of the European market revenues
have been shaved incrementally. The kill: Easter is
starting to throw its shadows and the kill remains steady on
the low levels. Nevertheless the weeks after next will be
shortened by a day and this is going to miss in the
slaughter and after that we are going anyway into the low
season of spring and summer. What do we expect: Next
week all eyes will focus on the APLF and being there or not
everybody is going to try to figure out the next move of the
market which will entirely depend on the impression on
leather sales and prices concluded and the retail budgets
which may become available
during the gathering in the
Far East
. With the present balance of the market it is unlikely,
that too much is going to happen with prices except the
uncertain outlook for the European specialities in heavies.
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