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Osterhorn,
Friday,
02.05.08 |
Market Report |
The
US $ in EURO
1,5430
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What happened this week:
This week was again a ‘non event’. We have entered the
traditional ‘after Hongkong spring cycle’ and market
activity slowed down significantly. With the holiday on
Thursday in most countries and the vacation in
China
most of the market participants were either on holidays on
in holiday mood. This left very limited business activity
and sales for the last days. Most of the weekly focus was on
the currency market with the USD continuing its correction.
The currency has now gained almost 4 % versus the record low
seen last Tuesday during the
Bologna
show, but at the end it did not help much as there was very
little interest from overseas no matter at what price.
Anyway, if the present direction is not just another trap as
we have seen many over the past year and we might enter into
a new trend with the EURO declining and the USD gaining it
would at least be a bit of a help for the problems of prices
in the EURO zone. Before this can have any effect, it would
however need more interest and demand from the overseas
markets and this seems not to be the case in the immediate
future. The holiday break will at least for the next week or two keep the market activity
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on the low side. Same applies also for L/Cs and
shipments which are also effected. Many of the concerns we
had, that the environmental policy in relation to the
Olympic games in
China
could have a negative impact on the tanning activity seem to
become true. This adds to the sharply rising production
costs and the problem of the slow down of the global economy
and seems to cause small and medium size tanneries
significant problems to maintain their production levels.
Although activity should pick up a bit after the holiday
break a lot points into the direction of a slow down until
at least after the summer. The bigger companies are far less
touched. The global demand for consumer goods remains still
normal even if the growth may slow down a bit. Producers may
relocate productions for cost reasons and this may cause
short term interruptions, but the total level of demand will
not be altered by much. Sales for the week were again rather
coincidental. Some follow up from last weeks show in
Bologna
was noticed and some sales of low grade and light weight
calf and kips were effected. The lower kill and lighter
weights have lifted slowly the pressure on the standard
grades for the European industry and the regular programs
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are enough to clear the
current production of hides. What was missing was the extra
business from the export markets in Europe and the Orient
and if there is anything good at the moment than it is the
rising USD what is at least offering a bit of relief on
calculations – if there is going to be more interest from
the export side in the weeks to come. Prices were about to
be steady, but with the small volume of sales this weeks
sales cant actually be called representative for a real
market level. The kill: The
kill continues the seasonal decline. With the holiday on
Thursday and the next one to follow on Monday in a week
supply is not going to be a burden. Weights are also rapidly
falling now, what is going to continue for a while and we
now enter the low season until fall. News reports about a
sharp fall of food consumption in the country due the rising
prices may also effect slaughter in the short term. What
do we expect: From next week we expect very little. A
rebound of interest should need at least another week and if
the USD can extend its gains there might be better
opportunities again. A bit of the competitiveness lost over
the last weeks has been regained now, subject the other
overseas markets remain steady in prices.
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| Type |
Weight
range |
Avg.
green weight |
Salted
weight |
Avg.
weight salted |
Price
per kg green weight |
Trend |
| Ox/heifers |
15/24,5
kg |
22,0/23,5
kg |
13/22
kg |
20/21
kg |
€
1,45 |
Steady |
| |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/27
kg |
25/26
kg |
€
1,33 |
Steady |
|
Dairy
cows
|
15/24,5
kg
|
22,5/23,5
kg
|
13/22
kg
|
20/21
kg
|
€
1,45
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Steady
|
| |
25/29,5
kg
|
27,5/28,5
kg
|
22/27
kg
|
25/26
kg
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€
1,30
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Steady
|
| |
30/+
kg
|
33,5/35,5
kg
|
27/+
kg
|
29/31
kg
|
€
1,15
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Steady
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| Bulls |
25/29,5
kg |
27,5/28,5
kg |
22/
27 kg |
25/26
kg |
€
1,50 |
Weaker |
| |
30/39,5
kg |
36,0/37,0
kg |
24/34
kg |
31/33
kg |
€
1,40 |
Steady |
| |
40/+
kg |
45,0/48,0
kg |
34/+
kg |
38/40
kg |
€
1,21 |
Steady |
| Thirds |
15/+
kg |
25,0/27,5
kg |
13/+
kg |
24/26
kg |
€
1,05 |
Steady |
| Thirds
bulls |
30/+
kg |
38,0/40,0
kg |
24/+
kg |
33/36
kg |
€
1,05 |
Steady |
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