Market Report 04.04.2025

Osterhorn, Friday, 04.04.2025

The US $ in EURO: 1,0975

What happened this week

It will come as no surprise to anyone that the sale of hides and skins has not been the main focus of interest this week. It is also fair to say that the general boredom that we have tended to report on in recent weeks did not continue with Wednesday’s events. Firstly, however, we should report on the general work routine. It looks like the animal by-products that were shipped before the outbreak of foot and mouth disease in Germany are now finding their way into China after all. Unfortunately, over the holidays at the end of the week, there has been no real final confirmation that the goods that have already arrived at the harbours in China have actually been cleared. Nevertheless, there is good hope that this will actually happen at the beginning of next week. For new shipments to China, there is still no new information on what the documentation for this should look like. However, we are expecting new news here too shortly. Otherwise, everyone was of course waiting for ‘Liberation Day’ on Wednesday and Mr Trump’s announcements on what tariffs the world can expect in the future. By now everyone has heard and read the decisions from Washington and apart from a few in the US government, everyone is now wondering who has now been liberated. The first countermeasures were also published this afternoon and the 34% tariffs that China wants to impose on all products from America are of course of particular importance for our business. Everyone is still puzzling and calculating what impact the possible tariffs, which are to be imposed in the USA from 9 April and by other countries in the following days, will have on calculations, on the processing of existing contracts and on future business. A very complex issue and there are still many who expect some still changes and exceptions to be published before 9 April. Anyone who has seen announcements live and in full should not be too optimistic, but with the current administration in America, you never know. If the tariffs remain as they have now been announced, then prices and revenues will shift considerably for many exporting and importing countries. Let’s be honest, as bad as the tariffs may be, it is slightly supportive for pricing of hides in Europe. Where we compete with American goods, the competitive situation for the remaining business has improved somewhat. However, this also means that many countries exporting leather products will face major challenges. Under these conditions, it is not particularly surprising that business was once again very quiet this week. However, we were pleased to note that the first interested parties from China have already expressed an interest in European hides again under the new conditions. However, we first have to be certain that it is possible to import our goods to China again without any problems and for this we need clarity about the documentation.

The kill

What we had been expecting for some time, materialised this week. With the sharp rise in temperatures and the beautiful sunshine, the kill fell significantly. We don’t know whether this is because the butchers want to slow down the massive rise in cattle prices or whether it is actually due to a very rapid decline in demand. However, they are assuming that in the coming weeks slaughtering will again be at a lower and normal level for the time of year.

What do we expect

In the current situation, forecasting price trends is a bit like looking into a crystal ball. We now have to sort out the entire supply chain right through to the end product and clarify for ourself what impact the tariffs will have, assuming they materialise as announced. In addition to the costing issues, there is of course also the question of how companies and consumers will react. Some will certainly first have also to digest the massive falls on the international stock markets and it is doubtful whether the overall environment can now be particularly favourable for an increase in consumption. For us, the weaker dollar is also playing a role and if there is anything positive to note at all, it is the aforementioned improved competitiveness against American hides. Of course, this only applies as long as American suppliers do not simply adjust their prices to the new conditions and there is demand to satisfy.

Price Table

Type Weight range Avg. green weight Salted weight Avg. weight salted Price per kg Trend
Ox | Heifers 15/24,5 kg 22,0/23,5 kg 13/22 kg 20/21 kg € 0,80 Stable
25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,65 Weakish
Dairy cows 15/24,5 kg 22,5/23,5 kg 13/22 kg 20/21 kg € 0,50 Weakish
25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,50 Weakish
30/+ kg 33,5/35,5 kg 27/+ kg 29/31 kg € 0,50 Weakish
Bulls 25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,90 Steady
30/39,5 kg 36,0/37,0 kg 24/34 kg 31/33 kg € 0,90 Steady
40/+ kg 45,0/48,0 kg 34/+ kg 38/40 kg € 0,95 Steady
Thirds 15/+ kg 25,0/27,5 kg 13/+ kg 24/26 kg € 0,40 Stable
Thirds bulls 30/+ kg 38,0/40,0 kg 24/+ kg 33/36 kg € 0,45 Steady

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