Market Report 27.06.2025
Osterhorn, Friday, 27.06.2025
The US $ in EURO: 1,1725
What happened this week
It is fascinating to observe how little can actually occur in the hide market. If one has been involved for some time, it is challenging to recall a period when something similar has happened. The reasons and causes have been thoroughly considered and reported upon, so there is no need to repeat them here. We are now entering the final weeks before the summer break. Somehow, one gets the impression that not only the leather industry, but almost everyone is taking this opportunity to think only about their summer holidays. Taking advantage of the summer weather to go shopping is obviously not of great interest at the moment, neither online or in brick-and-mortar stores. People are buying what they need, and beyond that, there seems to be little incentive for them to “treat” themselves to anything. Who can blame them, given the current situation in the world? So, at the moment, business is reduced to what needs to be done to keep production going. In addition to leather production in Europe, the production of collagen also plays a significant role in many companies. On the other hand, this also ensures that, at least in the case of raw materials, there is no particularly high market pressure at the moment, taking into account the reduced number of slaughters. This may change again from the end of July until the end of the summer holidays when hides will look for a home in drum, but at the moment, the current slaughter figures do not indicate any particularly large additional quantities coming onto the market. Whether this also applies to all existing salted stocks is something only those who own them will know. The situation may be somewhat different for semi-finished products. It is simply very difficult to imagine that all the stocks that already existed for a while could have been successfully marketed somehow and somewhere in recent months. If one follows the rumours and what is often said, there is frequent talk of quantities and prices that are very difficult to imagine, but which certainly do not paint a positive picture for stocks. However, it is also true that price is obviously playing only a very minor role at the moment. Given the prices we are hearing, in the past hardly anyone would have been able to resist the temptation to buy hides well below production costs. However, if there is no belief that every hide will eventually be successfully turned into leather and sold, then the assessment is likely to change. The result for this week is again relatively clear. Business never stands still, ongoing supply relationships will continue until the summer holidays, and no one is really interested in significantly changing prices at the moment. Certainly not customers for higher prices.
The kill
The kill continues at a steady pace and there are no major changes in volumes. It is not too little, as one might have feared for this time of year, but it is also by no means so much that one could assume that the boom in beef demand has continued unabated. The first federal states are starting their school holidays, and supply and demand will now be influenced by the holiday season until the end of August. All in all, this means that we can hardly expect any major changes, and we are now eagerly awaiting the results of the May livestock census for Germany. This will give us a clear indication of where the kill is headed in the second half of the year.
What do we expect
9 July marks six months since the outbreak or the last case of foot-and-mouth disease in Germany. There is talk that this could be the first date on which the Chinese authorities could consider and decide on lifting the import ban on German hides and skins. Reopening exports of hides to China would not change the world – our influence on the global price structure today is negligible – but an additional option would certainly not be a disadvantage for the coming months. Otherwise, given the known circumstances, we do not expect any major changes in prices, although some should consider the influence of currency on pricing.
Price Table
Type | Weight range | Avg. green weight | Salted weight | Avg. weight salted | Price per kg | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ox | Heifers | 15/24,5 kg | 22,0/23,5 kg | 13/22 kg | 20/21 kg | € 0,80 | stable |
25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,65 | Stable | |
Dairy cows | 15/24,5 kg | 22,5/23,5 kg | 13/22 kg | 20/21 kg | € 0,45 | Weak |
25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,50 | Weakish | |
30/+ kg | 33,5/35,5 kg | 27/+ kg | 29/31 kg | € 0,50 | Weakish | |
Bulls | 25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,90 | Stable |
30/39,5 kg | 36,0/37,0 kg | 24/34 kg | 31/33 kg | € 0,90 | Weakish | |
40/+ kg | 45,0/48,0 kg | 34/+ kg | 38/40 kg | € 0,95 | Weakish | |
Thirds | 15/+ kg | 25,0/27,5 kg | 13/+ kg | 24/26 kg | € 0,40 | Stable |
Thirds bulls | 30/+ kg | 38,0/40,0 kg | 24/+ kg | 33/36 kg | € 0,45 | Stable |